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Wahlausgang in Taiwan
Januar 17th, 2016 by Gao

Mao Yi Yu: New president, old elite – assessing Taiwan’s forthcoming 2016 election from a working class viewpoint (China Labour Net)

Taiwanese capitalists … urgently need the future government to help them increase their profits and competitiveness. Concerning the growing profitability of China’s market, Taiwanese capitalists wish the cross-straits relationship could remain “stable.” …
The KMT candidate Eric Chu proposed a policy that the future administration should raise the minimum wage from NT$20008 to NT$30000 in four years. He said that this is new strategic thinking in economic development; to take increasing wages instead of increasing profits as a motor for growth. There is no doubt that this is a relatively progressive measure, but if we consider the long history of KMT’s policy of suppressing labor then this announcement seems extremely deceitful. In the past eight years of the KMT being in power, it has strongly opposed the increase of the minimum wage on more than one occasion. The KMT, as an old right-wing political party, cannot convince Taiwanese people that this sudden change of tone is sincere. As for Tsai Ying Wen, by refusing to make any promises she avoided the challenge of Eric Chu on the minimum wage issue. This demonstrates the pro-capitalist and conservative stance of Tsai Ying Wen. She believes that the state should mobilize resources to strengthen Taiwanese firms’ competitiveness. If the firms get more profitable, then it will be able to raise the employees’ wages. This is nothing but right-wing Reaganomic thoughts with a new face…
Tsai Ying Wen’s cross-straits relations policy is more than worth mentioning. Stating that she will maintain the status quo, use Taiwan Consensus as her guiding principle and abide by the Republic of Taiwan’s current constitutional system, Tsai Ying Wen’s stance on cross-straits relations has rapidly shifted from pro-independence to maintaining the status quo during the 2016 campaign. It is now hard to distinguish her cross-straits policy from that of the KMT. Why is this happening? Because Tsai Ying Wen knows that if she stands for Taiwanese capitalists, she should not be hostile towards the CCP regime. Insisting on Taiwanese people’s right to self-determination against the CCP endangers Taiwanese capitalists’ profits. This is a dilemma for administration. We are convinced that both the KMT and DPP as capitalist political parties will favor the latter. They will make concessions to the CCP to protect the bloodline of Taiwanese capitalism, even if that cost the country’s sovereignty…
The result of the presidential and congress elections held on January 16, 2016 is unsurprising. Tsai Ying Wen got 56.1% of the vote, surpassing Eric Chu’s 31.0%. The DPP is going to be the new ruling party of Taiwan. It is worth mentioning, the voter turnout hit its historical lowest record this year, which is only 66.2%. Since Taiwan’s first presidential election, the voter turnout was never lower than 70%. This might be a sign that people are becoming disappointed with both the KMT and the DPP more than ever. As for the result of the congress election, the new structure of congress seats is – DPP 68, KMT 35, NPP 5, PFP 3. The NPP got 6.1% of the vote. For a newly formed political party such as the NPP this result was a great victory. Unfortunately, the SDP got only 2.5% of the vote, below the 5% threshold, meaning that they did not get any seats. The political structure and voter’s mindset is still constrained by the KMT-DPP system.

Julian Ryall, Richard Spencer: The Thatcherite about to take over Taiwan (Telegraph)

As a British-educated admirer of Margaret Thatcher, the woman set to become leader of China’s fierce rival Taiwan was always likely to be regarded with suspicion by Beijing’s Communist Party apparatus.
The fact that she is head of a party dedicated to promoting the island’s independence from the Chinese mainland only makes matters worse.
Beijing duly met expectations yesterday by firing a warning shot across the bows of Tsai Ing-wen, favourite to become first woman leader of Taiwan – the first woman leader, in fact, in the modern Chinese world.

杜關山:從「周子門」看兩岸三地的「民族主義」亂鬥(QUASI-《跨時》)

在依附帝國主義霸權、以反共反中為核心價值的港台分離主義群眾的「對面」,我們看見黃安和陳淨心一類人高喊「不要佔了便宜又賣乖」、「不承認自己是中國人就不要來中國賺錢」之類的語句;某些自稱得到當局加持的「愛國人士」,更會在私底下意淫,北京該如何武力鎮壓和經濟制裁各種「漢奸」,「一統天下」。
很明顯,這種祭出「大家都是中國人」的空洞口號,或「更進一步」訴諸物質利益或暴力威脅的民族主義份子,只能徒增反感、火上加油,進一步惡化兩岸三地人民的關係。這一類自稱「愛國少壯派」的人物,似乎搞不懂的是,他們的所作所為,不過是「漢奸」的同一套戲碼:只不過,對方自稱是「自由的普世公民」,號召以美國為首的「自由世界」,通過利誘或制裁或暴力的各種手段,推翻中共政權,如此等等。

Tom Phillips: Tsai Ing-wen: former professor on course to be most powerful woman in Chinese-speaking world (Guardian)

Gerrit van der Wees, a Taiwan expert who has spent time with Tsai during her frequent trips to the United States, says she likes to compare herself to Angela Merkel, “[who is] also a very decisive person, a person who has an open government, who is in favour of an open society.” …
After leaving London in 1984, Tsai returned to Taiwan to take up a series of teaching positions at universities in the city where she was raised.
By the early 90s she had gone into government, working as a key trade negotiator involved in Taiwan’s in entry into the World Trade Organisation, and then as a national security adviser to the KMT president Lee Teng-hui…
A leaked US diplomatic cable, written in 2006, shows Tsai the technocrat built a reputation as “a tenacious negotiator” and “a savvy insider” with “impressive economic experience”. “Tsai is viewed as extremely capable and very persuasive,” it said…
The introverted scholar will also seek to reshape relations with Beijing although she has promised to uphold the uneasy status quo between democratic Taiwan and one-party China.

Brian Hioe: What happens now that Tsai Ing-wen is president? (New Bloom)

Xinhua: “Missing” Hong Kong Bookseller Turns Himself in to Police (China Radio International)


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